B C2 1=2 E3
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?
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
24 JULY 1962
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50X1
r-
E r r= r L- L1 tT i ii 1FD
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USSR-Berlin
2. Communist China
F -1
The unremitting thunder out of Moscow
about Berlin strikes us as perhaps herald-
ing another campaign to impede Western
access to the city. The current antics
by Soviet aircraft in the corridors (there
were eight incidents yesterday, the high-
est since the February-March period of
tension,)may represent a foretaste of
what is to come. Judging from the empha-
sis with which the Communists are playing
up incidents on the S-Bahn (Berlin
elevated railroad), rail access may be
affected as well.
a. In Geneva, the closing days of
the conference were highlighted by a
sudden affability on the part of the
Chinese Communist delegates toward our
people, and by Chen Yi's closing speech
on Saturday which, except for a demand
that US troops be withdrawn from Thailand,
was devoid of the usual anti-American
invective. All of this may be merely a
reflection of the prevailing local
euphoria. On the other hand, we are
impressed by Chen's remarks that agree-
ment in Laos opens the door ?to the
settlement of other problems,and note
that he all but called for another
conference to tackle Vietnam. Thus we
do not rule out the possibility that
these gestures are intended to convey
word that Peiping is interested in
doing more business with the US.
b. On another cold war front,
Peiping, in one of its rare shows of
approval of anything Russian, yesterday
gave Moscow a big pat on the back for
announcing its intention to resume
nuclear testing.
(Cont'd)
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I -) 17:- c=
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3. Laos
c. Yesterday, two Chinese Communist
jet fighters intercepted, and made an
identification pass at one of our air-
craft on a routine patrol down the middle
of the Taiwan Strait. It is too early
to assess the significance of this
affair asit is the first of its kind,
but we think the Chinese may have in mind
copying the harassing tactics used by
the Soviets against our fli ht activity
over the Sea of Japan. 50X1
50X1
1 -1
a. News of the signing of the
Geneva agreements touched off sighs of
relief on all sides in Vientiane.
b. Souphannouvong told Ambassador
Unger this morning that he had received
a message from Souvanna (stimulated by
Secretary Rusk and Governor Harriman)
urging the prompt release of American
prisoners. For what it is worth, he
claims to have sent back word that
"appropriAte measures" would be taken,
and indicated to Unger that he would
personally handle the matter. He did
not, however, make any promises to
produce quick results.
c. Meanwhile, Kong Le and Pathet
Lao troops, frequently at sword's point
in the struggle for influence in the
hinterland, still stand as one when it
comes to dealing with Vientiane's forces.
Our information shows no letup in their
joint campaign to eliminate pro-Phoumi
guerrillas in central Laos and to push
his regulars around in the south,
ceasefire and coalition government not-
withstanding. 50X1
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IL-IL-11_1E-1[1 E21
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4. Indonesia - West New
Guinea
5. Algeria
1?=1
a. Sukarno yesterday sharpened his
demand for a quick turnover of the ad-
ministration over West New Guinea by
publicly declaring that "before the cock
cries on 1 January, West Irian should
have been returned to Indonesia." The
only purpose for his sending Subandrio
to Washington, he added, was to find out
whether the Dutch might be agreeable.
b. Meanwhile, Indonesia's arsenal 50X1
of advanced Soviet weapons has been en-
larged by the delivery of six small
naval craft which appear to be motor
torpedo boats but might turn out to be
guided missile patrol boats. The
striking power of the air force is
also in for a boost, if, as we suspect,
the four Soviet transports scheduled to
arrive
in Djakarta later this week
are
ijoaded
with extra missiles for the
TU-16
medium jet bombers now
being
flown
by Indonesian crews.
50X1
50X1
The factional struggle for power
appears to be moving inexorably toward
a showdown. Ben Bella, full of confi-
dence and backed b3 powerful military
forces as well as a political entourage
which looks remarkably like a ready-
made government, is giving every indi-
cation of being set to move in for the
(Cont'd)
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C= j r":71 Li I 1 -1 - t-i-A kJI I
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6. Congo
kill. In Algiers, meanwhile, the
resignation yesterday of two members
of the provisional government has given
impetus to the feeling that the time
has come to abandon ship
50X1
Ben 5uAl
Khedda,nimself, is on the verge of
hoisting the white flag.
a. It is now evident 50x1
that the cold-shoulder treatment 50X1
that UN Congo chief Gardiner received
in Elisabethville is traceable to the
advice Tshombe has been getting 50X1
Last week, WA1
for instance, Tshomb6 was told that
his position is strong, getting stronger
by the day, and that everything will
work out fine if he only sits tight
and keeps up a front of sweet reason-
ableness. We expect Tshombe, at the
urging of his advisers, to spell out
his position in a forthcoming letter
to Belgian Foreign Minister Spaak, in
which he will express "heart-felt
wishes" for a peaceful settlement of
the Katanga problem (on Katanga's
terms, of course), but promise to
resist any solution imposed by force.
b. The prospects for new talks,
however, diminished this morning when
Tshombe, reading last week's parlia-
mentary proceedings as having tossed
the Leopoldville government out of
office, declared he was no longer
willing to negotiate with Adoula.
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50X1
r= 771 m=1 r
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7. Peru
The general strike called yesterday
got off to a hesitant start, sputtered
badly and quickly flopped. With it died
any immediate prospects of serious
resistance to the military regime which
now is going all-out to get itself
accepted in the international community.
It has issued a decree installing Perez
Godoy as president of the republic, and
assigning to itself full legislative and
executive powers. With an eye to US
recognition, the junta is busily lining
up local American business interests to
plead its case in Washington.
? , . .
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t _1 I I 1-1 f 71 -I t tr_A
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NOTES
50X1
B. A major reshuffle in the upper echelons of both party and govern-
ment is under way in Yugoslavia. By bringing in new blood at the
top and spreading responsibility a little thinner, the Tito
regime hopes to overcome the bureaucratic lethargy which has
been partly responsible for the country's current economic woes.
C. Dahomey's President Maga tells us that the USSR and Czechoslovakia
?have promised to help get his country out of a financial hole by
digging into their jeans and coming up with $28,000,000 worth of
unsecured loans. We suspect that Maga is counting his chickens
before they hatch, and that the best he is likely to get is a
line of credit for goods he may--or may not--need.
THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE.
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