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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002300310001-7
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
26 - 28 FEBRUARY 1964
?17317-5-EGREL
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28 February 1964
1. Cyprus:/
The.Turks are becoming more and more alarmed at
the way things are going. Foreign Minister Erkin has
told Ambassador Hare that "events are moving fast and
a quick decision might have to be made."
They have been infuriated by Makarios' move
earlier this week to expand his police force. Greek
Cypriots are making no bones of the fact they plan
to try to disarm the Turkish Cypriots.
The Turks are also becoming alarmed at increased
Soviet involvement. They are convinced Soviet arms
are being sent in by sea and air. We have no proof
that this is true and doubt the Soviets would do
this directly. Turkish concern has been fed by
Makarios' statements that he would turn to the Soviets
if he could not get satisfaction elsewhere.
The "British-go-home" campaign continues, and
London expects Makarios to demand any day now that its
forces leave. The British have told us, and will tell
Makarios, that they have no intentions of abandoning
the Turkish Cypriots to the mercy of the Greek Cypriots.
(Cont 'd)
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At the same time, however, they are not willing
to go it alone indefinitely on the island, and are
so advising Ankara and Athens.
? So far efforts to arrange a meeting between Papan-
dreou and Inonu have been fruitless.
The Cypriot Government remains adamantly opposed
to a summit meeting of Greek, Turkish, and British
leaders. The appointment of a Cypriot ambassador
to Paris suggests that Makarios may soon make a for-
mal bid to De Gaulle to enter. the Cyprus picture.
2. Indonesia-Malaysia: There have been further
clashes involving Indonesian infiltrators in Malaysian
Borneo this past week.
Meanwhile another three-power foreign ministers'
meeting has been set for next Tuesday in Bangkok.
The Malaysians view the meeting as a final
attempt to break the deadlock over the ceasefire before
they take the issue to the UN.
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3. South Vietnam: Coup plotting is cropping up
again7-1 several senior
officers, including the commander of the corps area
around Saigon, are involved.
Though Khanh has recently transferred several
suspect officers and units from the Saigon area, he
may not be able to eradicate this endemic problem.
The large Chinese community in Saigon also
appears to be losing faith in the government.
Uncertainity over US intentions, a growing con-
viction that the Viet Cong will win, and accelerated
Communist subversive activity are having a broad
impact among the Chinese there. Their economic sup-
port, should it be turned to the Viet Cong, could
become significant.
(Contid)
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North Vietnamese
authorities are taking a progressively more opti-
mistic view of developments in the south.
we are
emphasis in
under these circumstances,
not likely to see any letup or shift in
Communist policy in the near future.
4. Sino-Soviet Relations:
the Soviet party
has been pressing anew for a convocation of the
world's Communist parties to repudiate the Chinese.
Appeals have gone out from a number of Communist
parties urging the Chinese to
call a halt to their public attacks. The Chinese
have been unresponsive so far, and we feel this will
continue to be the case.
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5. India:
6. Libya-US: Nasir's recent fulminations against
foreign bases in the eastern Mediterranean have found
a mark in the Libyan Government, still shaken by
last month's rioting.
On Tuesday Prime Minister Muntassir told Ambassa-
dor Lightner he doubted the recent government state-
ment on nonrenewal of foreign base agreements would
satisfy the many Libyans who are infected with this
Nasirist point of view.
The prime minister said it was his personal
opinion that it may be necessary to terminate US and
UK base rights within two years.
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7. Venezuela: Venezuelan terrorists, who have vowed
to frustrate Betancourt's ambition to be the first
? president in his country's history to pass the mantle
of office to a lawfully elected successor, are making
? plans to interfere with Leoni's inauguration next month,
The government is aware of this and should be able
to cope with the situation.
8. ?Lebanon: President Chehab has just about made up
his mind to run for president again, thereby removing
a large question mark concerning Lebanon's political
stability under any potential successor to him. He
will have to get parliamentary approval, however, as
the constitution says he cannot succeed himself.
Fnr TiLles
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