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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
15 APRIL 1964
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1. Cyprus
a. No large-scale action has
yet developed in the Nicosia-
Kyrenia area, but sporadic shooting
is keeping the situation "electric."
b. UN peacekeeping forces
were brought under fire twice
this morning by unidentified
Cypriot partisans. In both cases
the UN soldiers returned the fire.
c. Yesterday the Turkish
contingent was subjected for the
first time to Greek Cypriot gun-
fire. We would put this down as
another probing action by the
Greek Cypriots to see how far they
can go without provoking a Turkish
reaction.
d. There was none in this
case, although the movement of the
Turkish fleet out of Iskenderun
yesterday on an "exercise" could
be related. This invasion scare
gambit has worn a bit thin through
constant use, however.
e. Ankara is going ahead
with its program of selected pres-
sures on the Greeks. It cancelled
the papers of two high aides of
Patriarch Athenogoras and is
threatening to deport them. The
Patriarch is said to fear that the
Turkish aim is to emasculate his
organization.
(Cont'd)
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2. USSR
Athens has protested Turkey's
restrictions on the Greek community
in Istanbul and says it will soon
carry the matter to the UN. Athens
has doubtless reminded Ankara that
100,000 ethnic Turks live in Greece.
b. One was an ICBM launched
from an as yet unidentified opera-
tional site. This was the second
recorded missile launch from a
Soviet operational complex. The
first was from Plesetsk, north of
Moscow, last October.
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3. USSR-Cuba
a. We expect that the next
three months will see another
significant reduction in the num-
ber of Soviet forces in Cuba.
b. This will coincide with
the transfer to the Cubans of the
SAM air defense system, the last
significant operational component
still in Soviet hands.
(Cont' d)
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4. North Vietnam -
Laos
d. All of this is right in
line with the information we have
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substantial numbers of Soviets
will be pulling out during May and
June.
e. If the USSR sticks to
the schedule indicated, only one
or two thousand Soviets would be
in Cuba by the end of July, largely
in training and advisory roles.
a. Hanoi has handed Souvanna
a note charging that on 4 April a
150-man commando team of Laotian
rightists attacked a village inside
the North Vietnamese border. The
note asserts the attackers were
resupplied by aircraft from Laos
and were still in the area two
days later.
b. Linking this action with
alleged plans hatched by Phoumi
and Khanh, Hanoi asks for compen-
sation and the return of prisoners.
Hanoi also warns that the rightists
will have to bear "the extremely
grave consequences" should they
persist in this sort of thing.
(Cont'd)
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5. Zanzibar
c. We are inclined to accept
the fact that an attack of some
type probably did take place in
this general area, although we can-
not say for certain just who was
involved. We are checking.
d. Hanoi's objectives in
publicizing the affair are to
strain, even further, relations
between Souvanna and Phoumi, and
to make the premier more amenable
to Pathet Lao pressure in the
upcoming three-party talks.
e. The Communists may also
mean to build up apprehensions,
especially in Asia, over the
explosive situation that will
develop if these activities con-
tinue.
?a. Anti-American demonstra-
tions have slackened, but Charge
Carlucci feels that a new wave
will come when the Concord Squad-
ron steams into the area.
b. The leftists are already
working on this, and the government
has asked its UN representative
to work on the Afro-Asian delegates
to get the squadron's movements
before the Security Council as a
threat to the peace.
(Cont'd)
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c. The Tanganyikan Govern-
ment has offered us the assistance
of its police detachment on Zanzi-
bar, such as it is, should we need
it.
d. Karume on Tuesday again
denied that all Americans and
British citizens would be given
the bum's rush. There was no
desire to break off relations
either, he said. We still have
little confidence that he means
to try to make this stick.
e. Meanwhile, there are
signs, uncertain as yet, that
Zanzibar is beginning to emerge
as the prime point of contact
between Southern African refugees
and the bloc, a role previously
filled by Dar-es-Salaam.
f. In recent weeks a number
of such Africans visited Zanzibar
for talks with the Chinese Com-
munists or other bloc representa-
tives.
g.
"guerrilla" courses on Zanzibar
have been offered to groups from
Southern Rhodesia and Mozambique.
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NOTES
B. Communist China - France The two countries are set
to exchange ambassadors, probably by the end of the
month. Peiping has selected Huang Chen, former ambas-
sador to Indonesia and now a vice foreign minister,
for the Paris post, which it quite clearly intends to
Use as the major center for its activities in Western
Europe.
C. Kenya - Communist China The Chinese are training
Kenyans in auerrilla warfare
We suspect
that the trainees are associates of Kenya's ambitious
Home Minister Oginga Odinga.
D. USSR-Somalia The second major shipment of Soviet
arms arrived at a Somali port
(Cont'd)
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E. East African Federation The three East African
leaders, who met in Nairobi this weekend, left the
vexed problem of an East African Federation right on
dead center where they found it. Nyerere was eager to
federate,. Kenyatta was willing but vacillating, Obote
demurred. The question of Karume's association did
not apparently arise, although he had a representative
in attendance.
G. Bolivia We may be in for a round of serious peasant
T71751-eir6e following the killing of two prominent peasant
leaders in a downtown La Paz gunfight. The two had
been feuding for some time and one version of the
incident is that they killed each other. Both had
followers who will be quite willing to keep the feud
going.
Tk.r. nniv _ Teo-% corrat
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