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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BYTHE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
30 NOVEMBER 1962
-1OP-5E6REI_
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1. USSR
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2. France
3. Congo
a. Congolese army officers--in-
cluding General Mobutu--are increasingly
intrigued by the idea of Soviet military
aid. In conversation with US officials,
Mobutu has referred to a Soviet offer
made "as recent as this month," on the
condition the UN be withdrawn.
b. His deputy says that on Tues-
day a Soviet Embassy official told him
that within a week Moscow could provide
enough ?assistance to end Katanga's
secession within two months, a line
the Soviets are pushing "throughout
the Congo."
(Cont 'd)
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4. Argentina
c. The Katangan gendarmerie has
emplaced anti-aircraft guns--possibly
multiple mount Bofors machine guns--
around the Elisabethville airport.
This provides a new threat to UN air-
lift operations, but local observers
doubt Tshombe would risk attacking a
USAF airlift plane. UN fighter opera-
tions have been suspended, since
Swedish pilots would not obey a UN
order to attack any Katangan aircraft
operating over north Katanga. This
will give further leeway to the Katangan
Air. Force and add more to the woes of
Mobutu.
a. Tuesday we reported "left-
wing" Peronist talk of strikes and
sabotage unless the government granted
acceptable terms now for elections
next June. the
"moderate" head of the Peronist
Coordinating Council may have left
yesterday for Madrid to try to get
from Peron a clear mandate for con-
trol of the movement in order to
contain the extremists.
b.
a new right-
wing military coup is being planned
There appears to be some question as to
whether the coup planners can really
count on certain military elements
essential to their plans.
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5. Laos
a. Souvanna sees
the downing of the Air America plane by
a dissident Kong Le unit as obviously
?Pathet Lao-inspired. He calls it one
more action aimed at dividing up and
taking over his "neutralist" forces.
b.
'the unit involved
has since defected to the Pathet Lao,
C. ?Souphannouvong has been silent
on the issue and Souvanna is beginning
to characterize him as a "pawn."
d. Meanwhile, the Soviets are
planning to move their transport air-
craft to Vientiane to provide Souvanna
with an airlift.
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6. Sino-Indian
border
a. We have so far seen no evi-
dence of any Chinese Communist with-
drawal from the border area(not
scheduled to begin until late today
EST).
c. Yesterday the Chinese aimed
sharp reminders of the tenuous nature
of the cease-fire at New Delhi--and
probably at the neutrals. Their
broadcasts pointed to Indian forward
movements in the NEFA area as "armed
provocation to undermine the cease-
fire...and the proposed withdrawal
of Chinese frontier guards."
d. The Chinese also noted that
they were keeping "close watch on
successive intrusions and provocations"
by Indian aircraft in Ladakh.
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7. Bloc food
f. The Burmese express some
sympathy for India but are ducking any
commitments.
h. The Yugoslays, meanwhile, are
doing what they can to prevent Afro-
Asian mediation efforts from favoring
the Chinese position, and in the past
few days have issued several very
strong blasts against Peiping.
a. Our review of harvests indi-
cates that supplies will generally
remain tight during the winter and
next spring.
b. Soviet output has made almost
no gain for the fourth straight year,
and there will probably be some local
food shortages.
(Cont 'd)
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c. In the European satellites,
the grain harvest is the smallest in
four years.
d. In China, with grain pro-
duction only slightly better than last
year's poor harvest, another hard
winter lies ahead.
e. North Vietnam is having food
shortages, but the North Koreans are
doing relatively well.
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NOTES
A. Turkey
assassinate Premier Is et Inonu0
a plot to
nile we suspect any such ac-
tion would represent a private grudge rather than
policy, even an attempt could upset the pres-
ent uneasy balance in Ankara.
B. Guatemala A top Communist leader has recanted and
published bitter open letters to Khrushchev, Mao
and Castro. This defection may well lead to fur-
ther splits in the Guatemalan and other Latin Ameri-
can Communist Parties.
C. Haiti - Dominican Republic
---____
/With Dominican na-
tional elections coming up on 20 December, the pres-
ence of a Trujillo next door Haiti is likely to
cause a storm.
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D.
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Borneo
Indonesia has what we believe to
be
a
long-range plan to annex them and is working to
assist some local aspirations for independence.
F. Algeria We are seeing continuing signs that the
Algerian leadership regrets having come down so
hard on the Cuban side last month.
For The President Only?Ton Sperpt
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