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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
THE PRESIDENT'S
DAILY BRIEF
6 JANUARY 1966
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DAILY BRIEF
6 JANUARY 1966
1. Vietnam
The announced composition of the
Soviet delegation which left Moscow for
Hanoi today suggests that the Soviets
will be engaged in a high-level review
of their material assistance to North
Vietnam along with any possible politi-
cal talks.
Two Soviet figures of particular
interest are going with Shelepin. One
is D. F..Ustinov, who for the past 25
years has played key parts in the direc-
tion of Soviet defense industry
Within the past two weeks, possibly in
anticipation of this trip, he made a
special effort to arrange talks with
top aircraft and missile experts in
Moscow.
A second figure is Colonel General
Vladimir Tolubko, first deputy commander
of the Soviet Strategic Missile Forces.
Tolubko is an expert on missiles gen-
erally, and is believed to have played
a role in introducing surface-to-air
missiles into East Germany in the 1950s.
Officials dealing with political
matters have been included in the party,
as they normally are on such missions,'
but they are of lower level than those
who accompanied Kosygin to Hanoi last
February.
Further analysis of the possible
significance of the inclusion of Ustinov
and General Tolubko in this delegation
is under way.
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2. North Vietnam
3. Communist China
Diplomats in Hanoi have heard rumors
that a meeting of the North Vietnamese
Communist Party's central committee got
under way late last month. A check on
the whereabouts of prominent North Viet-
namese during this period tends to sup-
port the rumors.
US peace initiatives would certainly
be an important subject for discussion
by the central committee, but would not
necessarily be the reason for calling
the meeting. The central committee in
fact met during December in both 1963 and
1964. Communiqu?from these sessions
did not appear before mid or late Janu-
ary.
Peking today issued its most authori-
tative commentary yet on the US peace ef-
fort. A People's Daily article by "Ob-
server" critiques the US 14 points one
by one, concluding that they contain
nothing and are a "gigantic fraud."
Like Hanoi's recent propaganda,
People's Daily underscores that US troops
must withdraw from Vietnam as a "pre-
requisite" for a political settlement.
4. Sino-Soviet Dispute As expected the Tri-Continent Con-
ference in Havana is shaping up as a
major Sino-Soviet battleground.
Moscow's minions have proposed that
a single tri-continent organization be
set up to replace the present Afro-Asian
solidarity organization which the Chinese
once dominated. The Soviets may have
the votes to ram this through.
The delegate from Peking responded
with still another slashing attack on
the Soviets whom he charged are in league
with the "American imperialists."
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5. Communist China
6. Soviet Union
Satellite photography
shows considerable construction
activity at the Shuangchengtzu missile
test center in northwestern China.
Work is under way at a surface-to-
surface missile launch area which has
stood abandoned since Soviet aid and
technicians were withdrawn in mid-1960.
Construction is not yet sufficiently
advanced to identify the type of launch
facility being built. A new instrumen-
tation site being put in 550 miles down-
range may be related.
In addition, new instrumentation
is being added to the surface-to-air
missile test areas.
All of this suggests that Peking
may be getting ready to test fire both
a new surface-to-surface and a new sur-
face-to-air missile.
The Soviets may be about ready to
put their two newest intercontinental
ballistic missiles into operational sites.
In the last quarter of 1965, the
SS-9 was test fired eleven times to
various ranges and with various warheads.
All tests were successful and the mis-
sile should be ready for deployment.
The other new missile--the SS-11--
was also fired eleven times in the same
period. Despite the fact that only
seven of these shots were successes,
indicating a Moscow
decision to deploy it faster than the
test records seem to justify.
We believe that the SS-9 is destined
to go into the large single silos, and
the SS-11 the small.
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7. Dominican Republic
8. Bolivia
9. Rhoaesia
President Garcia Godoy insists that
he has no choice but to remove and send
abroad three of the four military chiefs.
He wants support from the US and the
Inter-American Peace Force to effect the
removal.
The entire left has united in a cam-
paign to force the chiefs' ouster. The
left seems quite willing to paralyze the
nation with protests, strikes, and street
demonstrations to achieve its end.
So far there are no reports of dis-
turbances in any part of the country in
the wake of Barrientos' resignation and
departure for a short cure in Switzerland.
Prime Minister Wilson may be over-
reaching himself in his efforts to reas-
sure the Africans he means business on
Rhodesia. He has come dangerously close
to tying Britain in Zambian eyes to a
timetable for bringing down Smith which
may prove difficult to keep to.
Since Rhodesia's relatively stronger
economy could well outlast Zambia's more
narrowly based one,Kaunda may yet come
to feel let down and thus more suscepti-
ble to radical African counsel.
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