Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
Body:
Approved for Release: 2022/09/21 C06954166
C.
III
COPY NO. 053
oc I NO. 0026/66
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
DIGEST
7 February 1966
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE- AGENCY
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
GROUP I
Excluded from automatic
downgrading and
declassification
SECRET
sccrcr
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SECRET
CONTENTS
(Information as of 1200 EST)
GENERAL
Vietnam
(Page 1)
Prospects for So-
viet-Brazilian Trade
(Page 3)
SOVIET UNION
Soviet Economic
Picture
(Page 4)
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
Rhodesian Develop-
ments
(Page 5)
Rebellion Continues
In Portuguese Guinea
(Page 6)
WESTERN EUROPE
Italy May Be Forced
To Call for National
Elections if Present
Political Stalemate
Continues
(Page 7)
LATIN AMERICA
Dominican Republic
(Page 8)
Situation report.
Negotiations between the two
countries are likely to result in
only a gradual increase in trade.
- '
Official summaries for 1965
indicate little improvement in So-
viet economic performance over that
of 1964.
London now hopes to postpone
Zambia's break with Rhodesia be-
yond 15 February.
The high-level of rebel raids,
ambushes, and reprisals shows no
sign,.: of diminishing.
President Saragat may choose
this alternative should new efforts
for the reconstitution of the cen-
ter-left government again fail.
Minister of Defense Rivera and
President Garcia Godoy continue
negotiations on the present military
crisis.
7 Feb 66
SECRET
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST;
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LATIN AMERICA
AMERICA
Uruguayan Communists
Oppose Reform
(Page 9)
NOTES
USSR
Indonesia
South Korea
Party leaders hope to help de-
feat proposals which, if enacted,
could reduce the political and eco-
nomic chaos they hope to exploit.
Belgium
Panama
Brazil
Argentina
Ecuador
Chile
(Paige 10)
7 Feb 66
ERE-
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST
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5. Rebellion Continues in Portu-
guese Guiana
The struggle between Por-
tuguese troops and native in-
surgents in the small west Af-
rican province of Portuguese
Guinea continues in apparent
stalemate, although the high
level of hit-and-run rebel
raids, ambushes, and reprisals
shows no sign of diminishing.
There is no indication that
Lisbon is ready to relax its
authority over the area or that
the rebels are willing to nego-
tiate on any but their own
terms. As military action, or
threats of it, disrupts basic
agricultural production, the
economic situation continues
to deteriorate.
The rebel African Party
for the Independence of Guinea
and Cape Verde (PAIGC) has an
estimated 3,000 to 6,000 men
in the field. They are well
armed, and enjoy safehaven and
logistic support from bases in
nearby Senegal and Guinea. The
rebels remain in control of the
north central Oio district,
where almost half of their
forces is concentrated. Ter-
rorists are also active in the
southern tip of the country and
in the northeastern corner near
the Senegalese and Guinean bor-
ders. Most other areas are vir-
tually free of rebel activity.
In Bissau, the provincial
capital, the PAIGC is regarded
as a formidable adversary, well
organized, well financed, and
well led by Guinea-based Amilcar
Cabral. The Portugese also
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
believe that it is financed and
dominated by the world Commu-
nist movement. Viewed from
outside, however, the PAIGC ap-
pears far less impressive, es-
pecially as a political force.
Although some aid is received
from Communist sources and from
the OAU's African Liberation
Committee, it is barely enough
to maintain the present level
of operations. Both Portuguese
and non-Portuguese consider the
rival rebel group, Senegal-
based Front for the Liberation
and National Independence of
Guinea (FLING), as a relatively
lightweight, ineffective group.
Portuguese troop strength
appears to be stabilized at
about 20,000, including 3,000
native conscripts. Supplies
and organization are now ade-
quate to permit increased of-
fensives against rebel strong-
holds, expanded patrol action,
and military protection of farms
and transport. Nevertheless,
the troops remain unable to seal
off the frontiers or to break
the rebel grip on the Oio area.
Tighter internal security con-
trols have been imposed in the
last year, largely because the
Portuguese authorities fear
that, with their guerrilla ac-
tivities somewhat checked, the
rebels may switch to sabotage,
terrorism, and wanton acts of
violence.
160'
7 Feb 66 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE DIGEST
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