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6.2(d)
EAST GERMANY: Political Vacuum in the Making
Premier Modrow and other democratically minded forces are
scrambling to develop an alternative political structure as Communist
rule crumbles in East Germany.
The State Council yesterday named Liberal Democratic Party leader
Manfred Gerlach the country's first non-Communist president,
replacing Egon Krcnz. The Peasants' Party and Gerlach's Liberal
Democrats have followed the Christian Democrats in withdrawing
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Special Analysis
USSR: The Option of Force in the Rallies
The central party leadership is likely to persist in granting the Baltic
republics greater autonomy while warning strongly against secession.
President Gorbachev is gambling that a flexible and constructive
approach to demands for autonomy eventually will erode secessionist
sentiment, enabling him to or a show offorce that would cripple
his reform program and cost him international good will. Moscow
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HUNGARY: Tension With Orthodox Neighbors Growing
Hungary's reform-oriented leaders find the attitudes of the orthodox
regimes in Romania and Czechoslovakia increasingly threatening and
are reassessing Hungarian national security interests.
Budapest believes Prague and Bucharest have jointly targeted their
security services against Hungary
Moreover
Romanian officials warned the Hungarians an armed
clash could not be excluded if Budapest continues to press Bucharest
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-rav-svaa_
6.2(d
USSR: Foreign Ministry Says Baffles to Be Independent �
3.3(b)(1;
6.2(d)
The MFA expects both
republics to declare independence after republic elections in February
and March and hopes an eight-year transition period can bc worked
out during which agreements can be reached on such defense and
foreign policy issues as the stationing of troops and basing rights in
the republics Moscow will not use force to prevent
independence in the Ba!tics.
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is Ii r i f
'_'O
ROMANIA: ROMANIA: Situation Report
Struggling To
Form a Government
Ceausescu's Fate
Soviet Response
Ion Iliescu, former Foreign Minister Corneliu Manescu, and
prominent dissident Doina Cornea have joincd in a provisional
government called the National Salvation Front. They have issued a
sweeping program that calls for a free election in April and continued
participation in the Warsaw Pact. Scattered resistance by Ceausescu
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'7777
Special Analysis
YUGOSLAVIA: Prospects for Stability
The Communist party congress that ended Monday did little to clarify
uncertainties about Yugoslavia's future. Sharp conflicts and a walkout
by the Slorene delegation will erode the party's prestige and authority
and will speed morement toward a multiparty system, but they may also
a vacate c tensions at the root of the country's instability.
The congress voted for a multiparty system, abolishing the
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I_s -/ I I-I � �
l_l� 7-)
GERMANYS: Parts. Links NIultiplying
The two Germanys are rapidly expanding political and economic tie;
andhancellarKohls visit on Tuesday may accelerate this trend.
Offic:al links also arc expanding rapidly. West German Economics
Minister Haussmann met yesterday with East German Premier
Mod-ow and other officials and agreed to form a joint economic
commission to expand trade and investment. East German Foreign
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I 171 I�I
Li
ROMANIA: Challenges to Ruling Front Mounting
The National Salvation Front (FSN) no longer can disguise its lack
of credibility and internal divisions; it appears headed for a major
confrontation with anxious, angry opposition groups this weekend,
both at the roundtable talks that begin today and at the demonstrations
called by the major parties for tomorrow. After several protests
against the Front's decision to run in the May general election.
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, I I I
I_i If
EAST GERMANY: Communist Party Loses Its Legal Monopoly
East Germany's Communist party lost its legal monopoly of power
yesterday, and roundtable talks next week will set the terms for free
elections.
In its first televised session. the East German legislature yesterday
eliminated the constitutional guarantee of the party's leading role.
One legislator complained that thc new government still is moving
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Special Analysis
POLAND: Election Implications
The election In Poland tomorrow will produce a sweeping victory for
Solidarity and a deeply divided government. The opposition will fully
control the new senate, which must approve legislation initiated by the
lower house; the party and its allies will retain most of Me lower house
seats and get the powerful new presidency. Even If pragmatists on froth
sides seek compromise to address Poland's deepening economic
FOIA
