Skip to main content
Go to CIA.gov
Center for the Studies of Intelligence
CSI
Center for the Study of Intelligence
Books & Monographs
Studies in Intelligence
Archive Articles
Vol 16, No. 2
Bayes’ Theorem for Intelligence Analysis
The Sino-Soviet Border Dispute: A Comparison of the Conventional and Bayesian Methods for Intelligence Warning
The Origins of National Intelligence Estimating
Intelligence Implications of Disease
Strategic Warning: The Problem of Timing
More on ‘Lucy’